1.中国农业大学信息与电气工程学院,北京市 100083;2.清华大学电机工程与应用电子技术系,北京市 100084
近年来风涝等极端自然灾害频发,灾后配电网生命线负荷的持续供电面临严峻挑战。针对台风灾害下配电网灾损难以准确评估、配电网恢复力与经济性难以兼顾的现状,结合台风历史数据与致灾机理,建立了同时考虑台风与暴雨的数据-机理联合驱动的台风下配电网故障率模型;针对极端灾害数据少、预测精度低的问题,利用
国家自然科学基金委员会-国际(地区)合作与交流项目(51977211)。
张璐(1990—),男,博士,副教授,主要研究方向:极端灾害下配电网恢复、交直流混联配电网。E-mail:zhanglu1@cau.edu.cn
黄睿(1998—),男,本科生,主要研究方向:工程博弈论。E-mail:13220152020@163.com
王照琪(1997—),女,硕士研究生,主要研究方向:主动配电网并行仿真、极端灾害下配电网规划。E-mail:seven_wzq@cau.edu.cn
唐巍(1971—),女,通信作者,博士生导师,主要研究方向:主动配电网、大规模光伏能源消纳技术。E-mail:wei_tang@cau.edu.cn
1.College of Information and Electrical Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China;2.Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
In recent years, extreme natural disasters such as storms and floods occur frequently, so it is a severe challenge to maintain the continuous power supply for primary loads in distribution networks after disasters. Currently, there are difficulties in accurately evaluating the damage to distribution networks under typhoon disaster and balancing the resilience and economy of distribution networks. To solve the problems above, a joint data-driven and mechanism-driven model of failure rates under typhoon and rainstorms is proposed based on historical data and disaster mechanisms of typhoon. To deal with the lack of data under extreme natural disasters and low forecasting accuracy, conditional value at risk (
[1] | 张璐,黄睿,王照琪,等.考虑恢复力与经济性均衡的配电网移动储能优化配置策略[J].电力系统自动化,2020,44(21):23-31. DOI:10.7500/AEPS20200222006. ZHANG Lu, HUANG Rui, WANG Zhaoqi, et al. Optimal Configuration Strategy of Mobile Energy Storage in Distribution Network Considering Balance Between Resilience and Economy[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2020, 44(21):23-31. DOI:10.7500/AEPS20200222006. |