蔡丽. 江苏滨海海域海上风电场的极值波高推算[J]. 海岸工程, 2023, 42(1):61-74. doi: 10.12362/j.issn.1002-3682.20210727001.
    引用本文: 蔡丽. 江苏滨海海域海上风电场的极值波高推算[J]. 海岸工程, 2023, 42(1):61-74. doi: 10.12362/j.issn.1002-3682.20210727001.
    CAI L. Calculation of the extreme wave heights in offshore wind farm in Binhai, Jiangsu[J]. Coastal Engineering, 2023, 42(1):61-74. doi: 10.12362/j.issn.1002-3682.20210727001
    Citation: CAI L. Calculation of the extreme wave heights in offshore wind farm in Binhai, Jiangsu[J]. Coastal Engineering, 2023, 42(1):61-74. doi: 10.12362/j.issn.1002-3682.20210727001

    江苏滨海海域海上风电场的极值波高推算

    Calculation of the Extreme Wave Heights in Offshore Wind Farm in Binhai, Jiangsu

    • 摘要: 为了给江苏滨海海域海上风电场的结构设计提供更为合理的设计参数,本文利用定量分析法对比分析了采用不同推算方法推算得到的工程海域极值波高,讨论了不同推算方法的差异及影响。结果表明:采用年极值法、条件极值法(包括风暴统计法、阈值上限法)和组合法推算出的工程海域极值波高受理论频率曲线、热带风暴年均频次、极端设计风速和特定水位的影响较大。其中,热带风暴年均频次主要影响风暴统计法推算的结果,当热带风暴年均频次不小于1时,推算的结果趋于稳定,相对偏差小于5%;极端设计风速和特定水位主要影响组合法推算的结果,极端设计风速的选择主要影响极值波高在各个方向上的分布,特定水位的叠加主要影响极值波高的幅值;对于非特定水位下的极值波高,利用条件极值法中的风暴统计法推算的结果最大,为6.55 m;利用年极值法中P-Ⅲ型曲线推算的结果最小,为5.48 m;两者相对偏差约20%;对于特定水位下的极值波高,利用组合法推算出的NW—SE方向极值波高与水位呈正相关,即叠加正水位时,极值波高增大,叠加负水位时,极值波高减小,幅值变化可达±15%;且极值波高的方向分布与所采用的极端设计风速的方向分布相同,利用极值波高对应的设计风速推算出的极值波高在各方向上的分布更符合实际海况。

       

      Abstract: In order to provide more reasonable design parameters for the structural design of the offshore wind farm in Binhai, Jiangsu, the extreme wave heights obtained by different calculation methods in the project sea area are compared and analyzed by using quantitative analysis method, and the differences and effects of these methods are discussed. The results show that the extreme wave heights obtained by the annual extreme value method, the conditional extreme value method (including the storm statistics method and the upper threshold method) and the combination method are greatly affected by theoretical frequency curve, annual average frequency of tropical storms, extreme design wind speed and specific water level. Among them, the annual average frequency of tropical storms mainly affects the results calculated by the storm statistics method, with the calculated results tending to be stable and the relative deviation being less than 5% when the annual average frequency of tropical storms being not less than 1, and the extreme design wind speed and the specific water level mainly affect the results calculated by the combination method. The choice of the extreme design wind speed mainly affects the distribution of the extreme wave heights in direction and the superposition of the specific water levels mainly affects the amplitude of the extreme wave heights. At non-specific water level, the extreme wave height calculated by the storm statistics method in the conditional extreme value method is the largest, being 6.55 m, and the result calculated using the P-Ⅲ curve in the annual extreme value method is the smallest, being 5.48 m, with the relative deviation of the two being about 20%. At the specific water level, the extreme wave height calculated by the combination method along the NW—SE direction is positively correlated with the water level, that is, the extreme wave height increases when the positive water level is superimposed and decreases when the negative water level is superimposed, with the amplitude of variation being ±15%. The directional distribution of the extreme wave heights is the same as that of the extreme design wind speed. The distribution of the extreme wave heights calculated by using the design wind speeds corresponding to the extreme wave heights is more in line with actual sea conditions in all directions.

       

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